After gold prices hitting Rs 1 lakh, is it time for silver to rally?

Silver offers a viable alternative for those who missed the recent gold surge. (AI image)

Time for silver after the gold price rally? Silver may be ready for a significant price increase to match gold’s performance. The current gold-to-silver ratio of 100, calculated by dividing gold prices by silver, has reached its highest point since the Covid period in 2020, surpassing the century’s average of approximately 85, according to Samco Securities. This metric indicates that silver currently presents better value.
When the ratio reached its historic peak of 126.5 in March 2020, silver prices subsequently doubled by August. Investors interested in silver exposure might consider investing in silver ETFs.
“We find ourselves at an interesting threshold for silver because the gold-silver ratio has surpassed 100, which marks a significant event that has only occurred three times in the past 50 years (in 1991, 2020, and now),” said Ramesh Varakhedkar, head – commodities at ICICI Securities according to an ET report.
“Historically, this ratio being above 100 has often led to a strong recovery in silver prices as it (silver) tends to play catch-up with gold, which has rallied more swiftly in recent times.”
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Global gold prices increased by over 25% in 2025, according to investing.com data, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Donald Trump’s tariff measures. In comparison, silver has achieved a 14.5% gain this year.
Geopolitical tensions could drive gold prices higher, potentially reaching $3,600-3,700, according to Navneet Damani, head of research – commodities & currency at Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
He suggests that a resolution of tensions, particularly between President Trump and China, could lead to gold correction whilst benefiting silver performance. Damani maintains a positive outlook on silver, noting its fifth consecutive year of supply deficit.
Silver offers a viable alternative for those who missed the recent gold surge, Damani indicated.
According to Apurva Sheth, head of research at Samco Securities, current metrics suggest silver is undervalued relative to gold, with potential for value appreciation in upcoming months.
Should you buy silver?
Damani advises purchasing silver whilst taking opposing positions on gold, anticipating a possible 10% decrease in the gold-to-silver ratio towards 90. His silver price targets are $35-36, equivalent to ₹1,02,000-1,10,000 per kilogram.
Varakhedkar projects silver prices to exceed $35, possibly reaching $40 by year-end, corresponding to approximately ₹1,10,000 per kg in domestic terms.
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“For investors, this presents a prime opportunity to diversify their portfolios. Incorporating silver alongside gold not only balances exposure to precious metals but also positions investors to take advantage of silver’s anticipated price movement,” he said.
Sheth notes silver’s characteristic quick, brief price movements compared to gold, recommending current entry points for traders to capitalise on potential gains.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)